Mar 08, 2022
Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute Press Conference – Press Materials
Speakers:
Robert Chung – President and CEO, HKPORI
Kim-Wah Chung – Deputy CEO, HKPORI
Online Commentator:
Tung-Fai Cheung – Spokesman, Alliance of Revitalizing Economy and Livelihood
Detailed Findings
Special Announcement
The predecessor of Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute (PORI) was The Public Opinion Programme at The University of Hong Kong (HKUPOP). “PORI” in this release can refer to Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute or its predecessor HKUPOP.
Abstract
PORI successfully interviewed 1,002 Hong Kong residents by a random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers in late February. Our survey shows that the 10 most frequently named political figures were Carrie Lam, Paul Chan, Regina Ip, Leung Chun-ying, John Lee, Tung Chee-hwa, Donald Tsang, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Henry Tang, followed by Starry Lee, Jasper Tsang, Martin Lee, Michael Tien, Alice Mak, Tam Yiu-chung, Junius Ho, Anson Chan, John Tsang and Joshua Wong who rank from eleventh to twentieth. Among them, the naming percentages for Carrie Lam, John Lee, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Alice Mak have registered personal record highs, whereas the naming percentages for Martin Lee and Anson Chan have registered historical lows. Compared to half a year ago, 8 political figures remain in the top 10. Starry Lee and Martin Lee have fallen out of the list as replaced by Sophia Chan and Henry Tang. Based on the results of the past 10 surveys, Carrie Lam continued to occupy the highest rank on average, followed by Leung Chun-ying, Tung Chee-hwa and Donald Tsang. These overall rankings remained the same as those registered half a year ago. The effective response rate of the survey is 49.7%. The maximum sampling error of percentages is +/-4% at 95% confidence level.
Contact Information
| Date of survey | : | 21-24/2/2022 |
| Survey method | : | Random telephone survey conducted by real interviewers |
| Target population | : | Cantonese-speaking Hong Kong residents aged 18 or above |
| Sample size[1] | : | 1,002 (including 505 landline and 497 mobile samples) |
| Effective response rate | : | 49.7% |
| Sampling error[2] | : | Sampling error of percentages not more than +/-4% |
| Weighting method | : | Rim-weighted according to figures provided by the Census and Statistics Department. The gender-age distribution of the Hong Kong population came from “Mid-year population for 2020”, while the educational attainment (highest level attended) distribution and economic activity status distribution came from “Women and Men in Hong Kong – Key Statistics (2020 Edition)”. |
- This figure is the total sample size of the survey. Some questions may only involve a subsample, the size of which can be found in the tables below.
- All error figures in this release are calculated at 95% confidence level. “95% confidence level” means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times with different random samples, we would expect 95 times having the population parameter within the respective error margins calculated. Because of sampling errors, when quoting percentages, journalists should refrain from reporting decimal places, whereas one decimal place can be used when quoting rating figures.
Latest Figures
As for people’s most familiar political figures, in the survey, respondents could name, unprompted, up to 10 Hong Kong political figures currently alive whom they knew best. Results of the top 20 figures in the latest survey are summarized below[3]:
| Date of survey | 3-6/2/20 | 3-6/8/2020 | 24-26/2/21 | 20-26/8/21 | 21-24/2/22 | |||||
| Sample size | 1,001 | 647 | 500 | 633 | 587 | |||||
| Response rate | 77.6% | 64.4% | 57.2% | 52.9% | 49.7% | |||||
| Latest findings | % | Rank | % | Rank | % | Rank | % | Rank | % | Rank |
| Carrie Lam | 31% | 1 | 61% | 1 | 61% | 1 | 59% | 1 | 66+/-4% | 1 |
| Paul Chan | 9% | 14 | 11% | 11 | 32% | 2 | 18% | 4 | 29+/-4% | 2 |
| Regina Ip | 14% | 5 | 17% | 6 | 18% | 4 | 17% | 6 | 24+/-4% | 3 |
| Leung Chun-ying | 21% | 4 | 22% | 3 | 23% | 3 | 24% | 3 | 23+/-4% | 4 |
| John Lee | 5% | 26 | 6% | 21 | 2% | — | 14% | 7 | 21+/-4% | 5 |
| Tung Chee-hwa | 25% | 3 | 18% | 5 | 17% | 5 | 24% | 2 | 21+/-4% | 6 |
| Donald Tsang | 27% | 2 | 13% | 8 | 17% | 6 | 18% | 5 | 17+/-3% | 7 |
| Chris Tang | 3% | 39 | 8% | 17 | 5% | 21 | 11% | 9 | 13+/-3% | 8 |
| Sophia Chan | 7% | 19 | 7% | 19 | 9% | 12 | 4% | 22 | 12+/-3% | 9 |
| Henry Tang | 8% | 15 | 5% | 31 | 6% | 19 | 7% | 14 | 11+/-3% | 10 |
| Starry Lee | 9% | 13 | 12% | 9 | 11% | 10 | 10% | 10 | 9+/-2% | 11 |
| Jasper Tsang | 12% | 9 | 9% | 14 | 8% | 15 | 10% | 11 | 7+/-2% | 12 |
| Martin Lee | 13% | 6 | 12% | 10 | 14% | 9 | 12% | 8 | 6+/-2% | 13 |
| Michael Tien | 6% | 22 | 4% | 37 | 3% | 32 | 5% | 20 | 6+/-2% | 14 |
| Alice Mak | 1% | — | 2% | — | 3% | 37 | 1% | — | 5+/-2% | 15 |
| Tam Yiu-chung | 1% | — | 10% | 13 | 9% | 13 | 6% | 19 | 5+/-2% | 16 |
| Junius Ho | 3% | 34 | 8% | 18 | 5% | 26 | 4% | 23 | 5+/-2% | 17 |
| Anson Chan | 12% | 7 | 9% | 15 | 6% | 18 | 9% | 13 | 5+/-2% | 18 |
| John Tsang | 12% | 8 | 5% | 29 | 7% | 17 | 6% | 18 | 5+/-2% | 19 |
| Joshua Wong | 8% | 18 | 19% | 4 | 10% | 11 | 6% | 17 | 5+/-2% | 20 |
- If the rounded figures are the same, numbers after the decimal point will be considered. For each survey, those who ranked beyond the 50th would be considered not on the list.
Survey results show that the 10 most frequently named political figures were Carrie Lam, Paul Chan, Regina Ip, Leung Chun-ying, John Lee, Tung Chee-hwa, Donald Tsang, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Henry Tang, followed by Starry Lee, Jasper Tsang, Martin Lee, Michael Tien, Alice Mak, Tam Yiu-chung, Junius Ho, Anson Chan, John Tsang and Joshua Wong who rank from eleventh to twentieth. Among them, the naming percentages for Carrie Lam, John Lee, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Alice Mak have registered personal record highs, whereas the naming percentages for Martin Lee and Anson Chan have registered historical lows.
The purpose of the “people’s most familiar political figures” survey is to show the changing political ecology by studying the ups and downs of people’s familiarity with these figures over time. Compared to half a year ago, regardless of their popularities, 8 political figures remain in the top 10. Starry Lee and Martin Lee have fallen out of the list as replaced by Sophia Chan and Henry Tang.
It should be noted, however, that our ranking of “people’s most familiar political figures” is based on our surveys which requested respondents to name local political figures without prompting. This kind of familiarity measurement is not the same as prompted ratings. In other words, those high on the list may not be the most supported figures, while those lower may have a different ranking if we use a prompting method. However, those who scored best in unprompted surveys are no doubt the most well-known political figures in Hong Kong.
Herewith some of the results of our “people’s most familiar political figures” surveys accumulated over past 10 surveys spanning over about five years:
| Overall rank | 15-18/5/17──20-26/8/21 | 16-19/10/17──21-24/2/22 | ||
| Political figures | Average rank for 10 surveys[4] |
Political figures | Average rank for 10 surveys[4] |
|
| 1 | Carrie Lam | 1.1 | Carrie Lam | 1.0 |
| 2 | Leung Chun-ying | 2.9 | Leung Chun-ying | 3.2 |
| 3 | Donald Tsang | 3.7 | Tung Chee-hwa | 4.0 |
| 4 | Tung Chee-hwa | 3.8 | Donald Tsang | 4.1 |
| 5 | Regina Ip | 6.1 | Regina Ip | 5.8 |
| 6 | Martin Lee | 8.0 | Martin Lee | 8.4 |
| 7 | Leung Kwok-hung | 9.9 | Paul Chan | 9.5 |
| 8 | Jasper Tsang | 10.5 | Jasper Tsang | 10.9 |
| 9 | Paul Chan | 10.8 | Leung Kwok-hung | 11.5 |
| 10 | Anson Chan | 12.0[7] | Starry Lee | 12.5 |
| 11 | John Tsang | 12.0[7] | Anson Chan | 12.8 |
| 12 | Starry Lee | 12.6 | John Tsang | 13.2 |
| 13 | Matthew Cheung | 15.5 | Matthew Cheung | 15.6 |
| 14 | Henry Tang | 17.9 | Henry Tang | 16.9 |
| 15 | Joshua Wong | 18.2 | Joshua Wong | 17.7 |
| 16 | Alvin Yeung | 18.7 | Alvin Yeung | 20.9 |
| 17 | Michael Tien | 22.0 | Michael Tien | 22.0 |
| 18 | Raymond Wong | 25.3 | Raymond Wong | 26.8 |
| 19 | Tanya Chan | 27.3 | Teresa Cheng | 27.3 |
| 20 | Lee Cheuk-yan | 27.8 | Lee Cheuk-yan | 27.8 |
- For each survey, those who ranked beyond the 50th and those not on the list are counted as 50th in our calculation of average ranks.
Based on the results of the past 10 surveys, Carrie Lam continued to occupy the highest rank on average, followed by Leung Chun-ying, Tung Chee-hwa and Donald Tsang. These overall rankings remained the same as those registered half a year ago. Meanwhile, Regina Ip, Martin Lee, Paul Chan, Jasper Tsang, Leung Kwok-hung and Starry Lee occupied the 5th to 10th ranks overall.
Opinion Daily
In 2007, PORI started collaborating with Wisers Information Limited whereby Wisers supplies to PORI a record of significant events of that day according to the research method designed by PORI. These daily entries would then become “Opinion Daily” after they are verified by PORI.
For the polling items covered in this press release, the previous survey was conducted from 20 to 26 August, 2021 while this survey was conducted from 21 to 24 February, 2022. During this period, herewith the significant events selected from counting newspaper headlines and commentaries on a daily basis and covered by at least 25% of the local newspaper articles. Readers can make their own judgment if these significant events have any impacts to different polling figures.
| 23/2/22 | The government delivers the new Budget, and will spend more than HK$170 billion on counter-cyclical measures. |
| 22/2/22 | The government announces the implementation of compulsory mass testing in March. |
| 21/2/22 | The government announces the implementation of the Vaccine Pass arrangement starting from February 24. |
| 18/2/22 | Carrie Lam announces the postponement of the Chief Executive Election to May 8 by invoking the Emergency Regulations Ordinance. |
| 11/2/22 | As COVID-19 outbreak continues to grow, a delegation led by Chief Secretary for Administration John Lee attends the second Mainland-Hong Kong thematic meeting on COVID-19 pandemic in Shenzhen. |
| 1/2/22 | Hospital Authority worries that there will be a tsunami of outbreaks of COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong. |
| 31/1/22 | Secretary for Home Affairs Caspar Tsui announces his resignation. |
| 26/1/22 | Hong Kong Society for the Protection of Children releases the First Interim Independent Review Committee Report on alleged child abuse at the Children’s Residential Home. |
| 21/1/22 | The government announces five-day lockdown at Yat Kwai House in Kwai Chung Estate for mandatory virus testing due to the outbreak of COVID-19. |
| 18/1/22 | The government culls 2,000 animals after a hamster contracts COVID-19. |
| 14/1/22 | The government extends anti-epidemic measures until February 3 and announces details for the fifth round of the Anti-epidemic Fund. |
| 12/1/22 | The seventh Legislative Council holds its first meeting. |
| 6/1/22 | Government senior officials attend Witman Hung’s birthday party. |
| 29/12/21 | Stand News closes after seven senior staff members are arrested. |
| 22/12/21 | Carrie Lam pays a duty visit to Beijing. |
| 20/12/21 | 90 members of Legislative Council are elected. |
| 14/12/21 | John Lee leads a delegation to Shenzhen to discuss details of border reopening with officials from Guangdong. |
| 10/12/21 | 187,000 people have registered on the day the “Hong Kong Health Code” system opens. |
| 8/12/21 | The government publishes the “Long Term Housing Strategy” annual progress report. |
| 19/11/21 | The Candidate Eligibility Review Committee announces the review results of candidates for the Legislative Council election. |
| 31/10/21 | Starting from tomorrow, it is mandatory to use the “LeaveHomeSafe” app when entering government premises. |
| 7/10/21 | The Policy Address proposes developing the “Northern Metropolis”. |
| 6/10/21 | Carrie Lam delivers the last Policy Address during her term of office. |
| 27/9/21 | The government releases the Report on Hong Kong’s Business Environment. |
| 27/9/21 | Senior police inspector Kary Lam falls into the sea and dies while pursuing smuggling speedboats. |
| 20/9/21 | 364 members of the Election Committee are elected. |
| 26/8/21 | The Legislative Council passes waste-charging bill. |
| 24/8/21 | The government further amends the “Film Censorship Ordinance” to ban exhibition of films that are contrary to the interests of national security. |
Data Analysis
Our survey shows that the 10 most frequently named political figures were Carrie Lam, Paul Chan, Regina Ip, Leung Chun-ying, John Lee, Tung Chee-hwa, Donald Tsang, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Henry Tang, followed by Starry Lee, Jasper Tsang, Martin Lee, Michael Tien, Alice Mak, Tam Yiu-chung, Junius Ho, Anson Chan, John Tsang and Joshua Wong who rank from eleventh to twentieth. Among them, the naming percentages for Carrie Lam, John Lee, Chris Tang, Sophia Chan and Alice Mak have registered personal record highs, whereas the naming percentages for Martin Lee and Anson Chan have registered historical lows. Compared to half a year ago, 8 political figures remain in the top 10. Starry Lee and Martin Lee have fallen out of the list as replaced by Sophia Chan and Henry Tang. Based on the results of the past 10 surveys, Carrie Lam continued to occupy the highest rank on average, followed by Leung Chun-ying, Tung Chee-hwa and Donald Tsang. These overall rankings remained the same as those registered half a year ago.